16 March 2019 (Racing at Flemington)

Racing at FLEMINGTON for the inaugural All Star Mile day which has obviously generated a lot of debate in recent months. Fine weather forecast in Melbourne, and expecting a GOOD (4) surface, with every chance of an upgrade to a GOOD (3) with warm and windy conditions in the lead up and also expected on race day.

RAIL: +7M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +7M, after being out +4M last week. We nailed the track last week, stating the rail would be off, as well as the outside 7m and this was confirmed early through the likes of Greyworm, and re-iterated when many very fancied runners such as Dalasun and Avilius caught on the inferior rail when the place to be was 3-4 off the fence. Not to mention, Osbourne Bulls with Bowman knowing the outside 7m were inferior, hence deciding to stay away from this ground, to the ridicule to many punters not privy to this information.

We walked it again Friday this week and a very different story with absolutely nothing wrong with the rail this week. The only concern for leaders is the windy conditions, so I dare say the ideal place to be is camped right behind the leader, on the fence or in the 1:1 position with cover. For the straight races, the outside 7m is definitely better this week, with the cut up ground from jump outs gone, but still lean to the inside being better, but not calling the outside a no go zone this week by any means. If you’re good enough, you can win out there.

Average odds $19.23+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $12+ & @ $4.80+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $36+ & @ $21+

#happypunting

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16 March 2019 (Group 1 racing at Rosehill Gardens)

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS and very wet conditions once again, penetrometer currently reading 5.76, hence currently looking at a SOFT (7) surface at best, most likely ending up in the HEAVY range.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail back in the TRUE position, after being out +6M last time. You’d expect them to get off the fence and be running on, especially as the day progresses. But as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $11.58+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $8+ & @ $4+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $19+ & @ $15+

#happypunting

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9 March 2019 (Group1 1 racing at Royal Randwick)

Racing at ROYAL RANDWICK with the chance of storms, which always makes it tough with forecast rainfall looking at anything from 1-6mm. Penetrometer currently reading 5.06, hence looking at a GOOD (4) surface, but that is obviously at risk, especially if we get closer to the 6mm mark.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail back in the TRUE position, after being out +6M last week. All considered, expecting and hoping for an even track with all getting their chance, pace dependant. As always, be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing throughout the day for best guide.

Average odds $10.66+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.40+ & @ $8.50+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $13+ & @ $51+

#happypunting

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9 March 2019 (Super Saturday Group 1 racing at headquarters - Flemington)

Racing at FLEMINGTON for Super Saturday with a fine, partly cloudy day forecast, with a top of 28 degrees. As a result, expecting a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +4M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +4M, after being out +2M last week. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to monitor early races for best guide. I actually walked the track Friday morning and although no major bias expected, there did seem to be ‘better’ ground arguably the pick 3-4 off the inside rail. Interestingly, the outside 6-7m did seem a little worn (when compared with the rest) I dare say on the back of recent jump outs and as a result think anywhere from two off inside and then all the way to 7m off the outside is all decent enough going for straight races. That’s not to say runners can’t win down outside rail, but if I was to estimate a 3L disadvantage in those outside 7m, then a horse will need to be effectively 3L+ better than the rest to salute.

Average odds $22.38+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5.50+ & @ $6.50+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $19+ & @ $34+

#happypunting

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2 March 2019 (Group 1 racing at Randwick)

Racing at ROYAL RANDWICK with some morning showers and then should be clearing for race time. Penetrometer currently reading 5.1, hence looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +6M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail out +6M, after being out +3M a few weeks’ back. All considered, expecting and hoping for an even track with all getting their chance, pace dependant. As always, be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing throughout the day for best guide.

Average odds $14.68+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $6+ & @ $4.80+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $41+ & @ $53+

#happypunting

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2 March 2019 (Group 1 racing at headquarters - Flemington)

Racing at FLEMINGTON with hot weather forecast, hence the early start/finish, relatively fine weather forecast, currently looking to start on a SLOW (5), and you’d expect an early upgrade to a GOOD (4). They’ll cop some crap for this, however personally prefer it. Much rather the majority of the day run on a GOOD (4) as opposed to a GOOD (3).

RAIL: +2M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +2M, after being in the TRUE position here on 16/2, when closer to the pace/rail was the place to be. Hoping for an even track, but again expecting no major disadvantage to be closer to the pace/rail, pace dependant, but as always be sure to monitor early races for best guide.

Average odds $18.91+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4.80+ & @ $3.70+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $51+, @ $26.50+ & @ $21+

#happypunting

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23 February 2019 (Racing at Rosehill Gardens)

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS wet conditions in Sydney, penetrometer currently reading 5.72, hence currently looking at a SOFT (7) surface.

RAIL: +6M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail out +6M, after being out +3M last time. You’d expect them to get off the fence and be able to run on, especially as the day progresses. But as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $15.01+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4.20+ & @ $3.60+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $26+ & @ $71+

#happypunting

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23 February 2019 (Group 1 racing at Caulfield)

Racing at CAULFIELD with relatively fine conditions for what looks a simply cracking day of racing. Looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +3M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail out +3M after being in the TRUE position here two weeks back when no disadvantage to be closer to the pace. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $17.74+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.65+ & @ $7+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $31+ & @ $31+

#happypunting

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16 February 2019 (Group racing at Royal Randwick)

Racing at ROYAL RANDWICK with relatively fine conditions forecast in Sydney. Penetrometer currently reading 5.14, hence looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +3M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail out +3M, after being in the TRUE position a few weeks’ back. All considered, expecting and hoping for an even track with all getting their chance, pace dependant. As always, be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing throughout the day for best guide.

Average odds $8.78+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $12+ & @ $5+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $34+

#happypunting

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16 February 2019 (Group 1 racing at headquarters - Flemington)

Racing at FLEMINGTON with relatively fine weather forecast, currently looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail back in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to monitor early races for best guide.

Average odds $19.38+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5.50+ & @ $4.60+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $34+ & @ $34+

#happypunting

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9 February 2019 (Racing at Warwick Farm)

Racing at WARWICK FARM with storms around Sydney in both the leadup and also forecast for the day. Not sure if Racing Australia website had it wrong but late Friday night track was ‘surprisingly’ still rated a GOOD (4) with penetrometer reading 4.85, however Saturday morning, we’re now seeing a HEAVY (8) with penetrometer reading 5.86. Possible storms expected, but only 0-2mm forecast. Hence, a late revisit is needed as heavy track capability is now a must.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to WARWICK FARM with the rail in the TRUE position. Given the updated track conditions, now definitely expecting them to be getting off the fence, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing early and throughout the day for best guide.

Average odds $8.90+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4.20+ & @ $5.50+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $18.20+ & @ $21+

#happypunting

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9 February 2019 (Group 1 racing at Caulfield)

Racing at CAULFIELD with showers clearing after storms earlier in the week. In saying that, not as much rain as expected fell, so still looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail back in the TRUE position, after being out +9M last week, where it played well. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $27.41+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $6+ & @ $10+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $41+ & @ $16+

#happypunting

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2 February 2019 (Racing at Rosehill Gardens)

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS with a bit of rain north of the border both Frida and as 0-3mm forecast for raceday. Penetrometer currently reading 5.68, hence currently looking at a SOFT (7) surface. This was worse than expected when originally basing form on a SOFT (5).

RAIL: +3M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail out +3M, after being in the TRUE position here two weeks back. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

 

Average odds $12.93+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5+ & @ $3+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $23+ & @ $34+

#happypunting

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2 February 2019 (Racing at Caulfield)

Racing at CAULFIELD with fine weather forecast after the heavens opened for a short (but sharp) period on Wednesday night. Looking at a GOOD (4) surface, and let’s hope it remains there for the entire card, but always the chance of a further upgrade to a GOOD (3) throughout the day.

RAIL: +9M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail out +9M, after being out +3M on Australia Day last week. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), expecting no major disadvantage to be on pace, close to the fence, but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $16.92+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.80+ & @ $6.50+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $31+ & @ $26+

#happypunting

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26 January 2019 (Australia Day racing at Royal Randwick)

Racing at ROYAL RANDWICK with warm, sunny conditions with a forecast top of 33. Penetrometer reading 5.16, hence looking at a GOOD (4) surface at worst.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail back in the TRUE position. All considered, expecting and hoping for an even track with all getting their chance, pace dependant. As always, be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing throughout the day for best guide.

Average odds $9.78+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $8.40+ & @ $4.65+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $19+ & @ $26+

#happypunting

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26 January 2019 (Australia Day racing at Caulfield)

Racing at CAULFIELD with hot weather in the leadup, but a much milder day Saturday which is good for all involved. We’ll be starting on a GOOD (4) surface, however every chance of an upgrade to a GOOD (3) throughout the day.

RAIL: +3M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail out +3M. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), expecting no major disadvantage to be on pace, close to the fence, but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $4.69+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4.40+ & @ $4.70+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $13+

#happypunting

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19 January 2019 (Racing at Rosehill Gardens)

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS with fine conditions, some wind, penetrometer reading 4.98, hence currently looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail back in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $11.53+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $7+ & @ $6.50+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $30+ & @ $14.20+

#happypunting

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19 January 2019 (Racing at Flemington)

Racing at FLEMINGTON again, with fine weather in Melbourne again, so looking at a GOOD (4) surface and hopefully it remains there.

RAIL: +9M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +9M, after being out +6M here last week. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, however given the conditions and rail position not expecting any major disadvantage to be on pace/near fence, but as always be sure to monitor early races for best guide.

Average odds $9.79+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5.50+ & @ $4.40+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $23.50+ & @ $41+

#happypunting

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12 January 2012 (Chester Manifold Day racing at Flemington - Headquarters)

Racing at FLEMINGTON, with fine, warm weather in Melbourne, so looking at a GOOD (4) surface and hopefully it remains there.

RAIL: +6M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +6M, after being out +3M here on New Years Day. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, however given the conditions and rail position not expecting any major disadvantage to be on pace/near fence, but as always be sure to monitor early races for best guide.

Average odds $12.31+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5.30+ & @ $8.50+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $26+ & @ $21.50+

#happypunting

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12 January 2019 (Magic Millions Day on the Gold Coast)

Racing on the GOLD COAST for the massive Magic Millions meeting with fine weather forecast which is great news for all involved. Penetrometer reading 4.52, so looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: 1.5M (1000M – 400M), TRUE (REMAINDER). We head to the GOLD COAST for their massive day in the sun, literally. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing early on, for best guide.

Average odds $17.92+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $2.60+ & @ $3.20+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $36+ & @ $18+

#happypunting

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