18 May 2019 (Group 1 racing at Morphettville)

Racing at MORPHETTVILLE for Group 1 Goodwood Day which always proves to be a great race day, hence the decision to run with a rare Adelaide summary. Relatively fine day forecast, chance of a light shower, hence with penetrometer currently 5.43, we’re looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +4M (1200M – 600M), +6M (REMAINDER). We head to MORPHETTVILLE with the rail out +4M/+6M as outlined above. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $20.78+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.75+ & @ $4+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $21.50+ & @ $21+

#happypunting

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18 May 2019 (Group 1 racing at Doomben)

Racing at DOOMBEN for another of their big day’s in the sun, with relatively fine weather forecast once again. Penetrometer currently 5.67 so currently looking at a SOFT (5) surface.

RAIL: +2M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to DOOMBEN with the rail out +2M, after being in the TRUe position last week. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $9.57+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $6+ & @ $2.80+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $15+ & @ $26+

#happypunting

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11 May 2019 (Group racing at Scone)

Racing at SCONE for one of their big day’s in the sun. Fine weather forecast, looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +3M (800M – WINNING POST), TRUE (REMAINDER). We head to SCONE with the rail out +3M for the business end of each race. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $9.90+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4.80+ & @ $5.50+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $17+ & @ $17+

#happypunting

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11 May 2019 (Doomben 10000 Day at Doomben)

Racing at DOOMBEN for one of their big day’s in the sun, highlighted by the running of the Doomben 10000. And thankfully, the sun is set to shine with fine weather forecast, penetrometer currently 5.46 so currently looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to DOOMBEN with the rail in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $13.31+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5.50+ & @ $8+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $19+ & @ $18+

#happypunting

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4 May 2019 (Racing at Kensington - Randwick)

Racing at RANDIWCK (KENSINGTON TRACK) with rain on Friday, but only up to 2mm expected on race day. Penetrometer 4.9 so currently sitting on a SOFT (5) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to the KENSINGTON track at Randwick with the rail in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but if the rain comes, every chance they’ll be getting off the fence, especially as the day progresses, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $12.34+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4+ & @ $8+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $34+ & @ $51+

#happypunting

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4 May 2019 (Racing at Flemington)

Racing returns to FLEMINGTON and given the stormy weather missed Flemington for the most part on Thursday, looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +11M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +11M, after being out +8M here on Anzac Day. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $13.62+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4.60+ & @ $8.50+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $35+ & @ $34+

#happypunting

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27 April 2019 (Racing at Hawkesbury)

Racing at HAWKESBURY with fine conditions forecast, penetrometer 4.84, hence looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to HAWKESBURY with the rail back in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $8.57+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.50+ & @ $4.40+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $18.20+ & @ $20.50+

#happypunting

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27 April 2019 (Racing at Caulfield)

Racing again at CAULFIELD with overcast and showery weather in the lead up to race day, 1-2mm expected Friday, 40% chance of a shower or two Saturday. Currently looking at a SOFT (5) surface.

RAIL: +5M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail out +5M after being in the TRUE position here last week, on the back of being out +13M here the week prior. Last week they started to get off the fence as the day progressed, so fair chance of similar occurring here especially if we do indeed start in the SOFT range. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $17.98+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.10+ & @ $4.40+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $51+ & @ $41+

#happypunting

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20 April 2019 (Racing at Caulfield)

Racing again at CAULFIELD with lovely weather forecast in Melbourne, looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail back in the TRUE position after being out +13M here last week, on the back of +10M here the week prior. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $13+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.95+ & @ $4.60+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $35+ & @ $15+

#happypunting

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20 April 2019 (Group 1 racing at Royal Randwick)

Racing at ROYAL RANDWICK again and relatively fine weather once again, penetrometer reading 5.04, so again looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +6M (1600M to WINNING POST), +4M (REMAINDER). We head to RANDWICK with the rail out +6M/+4M as per the above, after being out +3M last week. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, however as always, be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing early for best guide.

Average odds $21.83+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $7.50+ & @ $6+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $31+ & @ $41+

#happypunting

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13 April 2019 (Racing at Caulfield)

Racing again at CAULFIELD with relatively fine conditions forecast, hence again looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +13M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail out +13M after being out +10M here last week. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $16.51+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $2.12+ & @ $4.60+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $18+ & @ $26+

#happypunting

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13 April 2019 (Week 2 of The Championships at Royal Randwick - Winx's Farewell)

Racing at ROYAL RANDWICK for week 2 of The Championships with finally some fine weather again, hence believe it or not we’re looking a good chance of racing on a GOOD (4) in Sydney. It’s definitely been a while!

RAIL: +3M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail out +3M, after being in the TRUE position here last week, for day one of The Championships. Hoping for an even track with all getting their chance, pace dependant, however as always, be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing early for best guide.

Average odds $30.86+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.50+ & @ $5+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $51+ & @ $41+

#happypunting

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6 April 2019 (Week 1 of The Championships at Royal Randwick)

Racing at ROYAL RANDWICK for week 1 of The Championships with finally some “better” weather forecast, although still 2-10mm forecast for Friday. Penetrometer currently reading 5.86, hence currently a SOFT (7) surface, but given the Friday end result seems to have been on the lesser side, we’d be expecting it to progress towards the better side of SOFT as the day progresses.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail back in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track with all getting their chance, pace dependant, however as always, be sure to keep a close eye on how track is playing early and throughout the day for best guide.

Average odds $22+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $2.75+ & @ $6+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $21+ & @ $21+

#happypunting

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6 April 2019 (Racing at Caulfield)

Racing returns to CAULFIELD with relatively fine conditions forecast, currently looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +10M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail out +10M. Hoping for an even track (pace dependant), but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $13.76+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5.50+ & @ $4.80+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $26+ & @ $18+

#happypunting

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30 March 2019 (Racing at Bendigo)

Racing at BENDIGO and after a dry spell in Victoria, some much needed rain has arrived late Friday and some more forecast for race day in Melbourne, but how much will actually hit Bendigo? Only time will tell but forecast is saying not so much. Penetrometer currently reading 5.35, hence looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to BENDIGO with the rail in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $19.32+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $3.70+ & @ $3.90+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $21+ & @ $34+

#happypunting

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30 March 2019 (Group 1 racing at Rosehill Gardens)

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS and the rain has persisted in Sydney and as a result looking at another wet track, the question is simply how wet/heavy with a tricky weather forecast to try and predict. Penetrometer currently reading 5.71, hence a SOFT (7) surface but with 8-25mm predicted for race day, am going to make the assumption we end up back in the HEAVY range at least at some stage.

RAIL: +6M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail out +6M, after being out +3M here last week. You’d expect them to get off the fence, but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $14.73+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $5+ & @ $3.40+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $17+ & @ $41+

#happypunting

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23 March 2019 (Listed Cup and Hareeba Stakes Day at Mornington)

Racing at MORNINGTON for another one of their day’s in the sun, and a relatively fine day forecast with the off chance of a very light early shower and then clearing. Looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

 RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to MORNINGTON with the rail in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but be sure to keep a close eye on early races in particular for best guide.

Average odds $14.06+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $4.50+ & @ $5+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $17+ & @ $53+

#happypunting

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23 March 2019 (Group 1 Golden Slipper Day racing at Rosehill Gardens)

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS and after massive downpours last week and early this week, finally on the improve. Penetrometer currently reading 5.85, hence a HEAVY (8) surface but thinking we will end up on SOFT ground for the majority of the race day.

RAIL: +3M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail out +3M, after being in the TRUE position here last week. You’d expect them to get off the fence, but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $24.18+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $6.50+ & @ $7+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $23+ & @ $81+

#happypunting

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16 March 2019 (Racing at Flemington)

Racing at FLEMINGTON for the inaugural All Star Mile day which has obviously generated a lot of debate in recent months. Fine weather forecast in Melbourne, and expecting a GOOD (4) surface, with every chance of an upgrade to a GOOD (3) with warm and windy conditions in the lead up and also expected on race day.

RAIL: +7M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +7M, after being out +4M last week. We nailed the track last week, stating the rail would be off, as well as the outside 7m and this was confirmed early through the likes of Greyworm, and re-iterated when many very fancied runners such as Dalasun and Avilius caught on the inferior rail when the place to be was 3-4 off the fence. Not to mention, Osbourne Bulls with Bowman knowing the outside 7m were inferior, hence deciding to stay away from this ground, to the ridicule to many punters not privy to this information.

We walked it again Friday this week and a very different story with absolutely nothing wrong with the rail this week. The only concern for leaders is the windy conditions, so I dare say the ideal place to be is camped right behind the leader, on the fence or in the 1:1 position with cover. For the straight races, the outside 7m is definitely better this week, with the cut up ground from jump outs gone, but still lean to the inside being better, but not calling the outside a no go zone this week by any means. If you’re good enough, you can win out there.

Average odds $19.23+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $12+ & @ $4.80+

BEST LONGSHOTS @ $36+ & @ $21+

#happypunting

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16 March 2019 (Group 1 racing at Rosehill Gardens)

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS and very wet conditions once again, penetrometer currently reading 5.76, hence currently looking at a SOFT (7) surface at best, most likely ending up in the HEAVY range.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail back in the TRUE position, after being out +6M last time. You’d expect them to get off the fence and be running on, especially as the day progresses. But as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

Average odds $11.58+ per suggested runner!

BEST VALUE @ $8+ & @ $4+

BEST LONGSHOT @ $19+ & @ $15+

#happypunting

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