24 March 2016 (Racing at Moonee Valley - Money Valley)

Summary for Moonee Valley tonight is available, with only a couple of suggestions at this stage. Walked the track earlier today and not 100% confident playing tonight on a deteriorating track that will benefit greatly with a well earned rest after tonight's racing. In saying that, the two suggested are both each way plays in two of the main races and happy enough to take the gamble with each. #happypunting

 

Race 4: Assuming front runners are getting their chance, then think SWEET REDEMPTION will be hard to run down at $6+ (UBET). Suggest an each way play and a first four saver with main dangers LABDIEN (worked home well in hot race last time, gets in nicely at the weights again here) and LAZUMBA who looks over past injury issues and is above average.

SUGGEST: SWEET REDEMPTION (EACH WAY) @ $6+, FIRST FOUR (4, 6 / F / F / 5) (CONFIDENCE 35%)

 

Race 6: Now for the feature, the Group 1 William Reid and what a great race we have. Hopefully the track is playing well enough to give all runners their chance and dodging a few 'average' areas scattered throughout the track, including the straight. Sticking with one we declared last time in Melbourne, before being scratched and sent to a harder race in Sydney to just go down to ENGLISH who is absolutely flying. The runner in question is KINGLIKE @ $8+ with UBET, SPORTSBET and BET365. Hard race, many chances, but rate this galloper and wouldn't it be fitting for Peter Moody to go away from racing with one final Group 1. Reckon he's every chance to do so and would be a fitting way to leave. Personally, think Moody will be taking a well earned break before returning to racing in the not too distant future, possibly around 18 months time. Time will tell. Main dangers JAPONISME, HOLLER, LUCKY HUSSLER and stablemate FLAMBERGE, but doesn't end there. Deep race.

SUGGEST: KINGLIKE (EACH WAY) @ $8+, FIRST FOUR (1, 2, 9, 10 / F / F / 12) (CONFIDENCE 30%)

 

If confident enough in the track, may look to add others later on, however at this stage we will focus on Saturday given the concerns and uncertainty we see with the track.

 

Note, a distinct 'better lane 5-6 off the fence, however not great either side of it as illustrated below:

 

#happypunting