4 June 2016 (Racing at Rosehill Gardens)

ALL SPORT PUNTING DUNGEON

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ROSEHILL GARDENS

SATURDAY JUNE 4, 2016

 

Racing at ROSEHILL GARDENS with the penetrometer currently reading 6.21, currently looking at a HEAVY (9) surface. Warning, a massive 40 – 100mm forecast for the day, hence every chance the card is called off before the end, if we get close to the top end of that range. As a result, just picking a few from the day which we know love the bog, hence the track is not so much of a concern.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL GARDENS with the rail in the TRUE position. Rain, rain and more rain, already a heavy 9 so must watch early races for a guide. You would expect the rail will be a no go zone and they will be peeling wide.

 

Race 1: Will be a watch and learn, in particular to see how track is playing.

SUGGEST: NO BET AT THIS STAGE (CONFIDENCE 0%)

 

Race 2: Won’t be touching the two year olds on a track like this. Far too much guesswork as most would not have been exposed to such a track before. Watch and learn.

SUGGEST: NO BET AT THIS STAGE (CONFIDENCE 0%)

 

Race 3: No suggestions at this stage, but keep a close eye on social channels in case we get keen on anything closer to jump time.

SUGGEST: NO BET AT THIS STAGE (CONFIDENCE 0%)

 

Race 4: FIIG handicap over 1400m and here we play. MARENOSTRO absolutely loves the slop and keen here on a WIN only basis @ $2.40+ with SPORTSBET, ahead of stablemate in SHE’S CLEAN @ $7.50+ with BET365. Happy to play both, the former on a WIN only primary basis, the latter on a secondary each way basis. Note, no third dividend.

SUGGEST: MARENOSTRO (WIN - PRIMARY) @ $2.40+, SHE’S CLEAN (WIN / EACH WAY - SECONDARY) @ $7.50+, FIRST FOUR (1, 2, 4, 6, 8 / 5 / 3 / 1, 2, 4, 6, 8) (CONFIDENCE 60%)

 

Race 5: No suggestions at this stage, but keep a close eye on social channels in case we get keen on anything closer to jump time.

SUGGEST: NO BET AT THIS STAGE (CONFIDENCE 0%)

 

Race 6: Given the track condition, happy to take on those short in the market and play around a few who love the bog and are juicy odds. On this basis, top pick is **DUBAIINSTYLE** @ $16+ with LADBROKES, BOOKMAKERS and BETSTAR. Given the odds will make a BEST VALUE bet of the day. Ahead of *HURSLEY* @ $31+ with UBET who we will make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day given big odds on offer,  and a final play on MORE THAN FABULOUS @ $19+ with BET365. Main dangers MONTAUK (had he drawn wider, would have been keen), SUPPLY AND DEMAND, SO WILLIE and ROGUISH.

SUGGEST: **DUBAIINSTYLE** (WIN / EACH WAY) @ $16+, *HURSLEY* (EACH WAY) @ $31+, MORE THAN FABULOUS (WIN / EACH WAY) @ $19+, FIRST FOUR (2, 3, 11, 13 / F / 2, 3, 11, 13 / 1, 15, 16) (CONFIDENCE 30%)

 

Race 7: Benchmark 85 over 1500m. Slight lean METALLIC CROWN @ $7.50+ with BET365, can improve significantly on a bog track (and needs to on current form), while also wanted a longshot play on *COLLABORATION* @ $34+ with SPORTSBET, LUXBET and UNIBET. Given the odds, will make a BEST LONGSHOT of the day.

SUGGEST: METALLIC CROWN (EACH WAY - PRIMARY) @ $7.50+, *COLLABORATION* (EACH WAY) @ $34+, FIRST FOUR (F / 10 / F / 1) (CONFIDENCE 35%) 

 

Race 8: Handicap over 1800m and like **BERRY DELICIOUS** here @ $5.50+ with SPORTSBET, loves the slop and is ready to win. Given the odds will make a BEST VALUE bet of the day. Also, want to play on one of our faves who was our own star of the Spring in CASINO DANCER at a juicy $12+ with most operators. Handles the slop and just needed to see some sign of better form, which we got last start. Been patiently waiting for a time to jump back aboard and today is the day. Main dangers LOOPHOLE and HIGH MIDNIGHT.

SUGGEST: **BERRY DELICIOUS** (EACH WAY - PRIMARY) @ $5.50+, CASINO DANCER (EACH WAY - SECONDARY) @ $12+, FIRST FOUR (7, 8 / 10 / F / 2), (F / 7, 8 / F / 2, 10) (CONFIDENCE 35%) 

 

Race 9: No suggestions at this stage, but keep a close eye on social channels in case we get keen on anything closer to jump time.

SUGGEST: NO BET AT THIS STAGE (CONFIDENCE 0%)

 

SUMMARY:

Average odds a juicy $14.99+ per suggested runner!

** BEST VALUE **: DUBAIINSTYLE @ $16+, BERRY DELICIOUS @ $5.50+

*BEST LONGSHOTS*: COLLABORATION @ $34+, HURSLEY @ $31+

#happypunting