Race 4: Wouldn't consider myself a specialist on the NZ racing circuit, however one has caught my eye at Ellerslie Saturday, in the $1 million Karaka Million 3YO Classic over 1600m. Most importantly, Hugh Bowman heads across to take the ride on SCREAM PARK after a running 4th in a hot trial, well behind top liners Super Too and She Will Reign, however there are obviously no She Will Reign's here. Has been in form this prep with 2 x wins, 1 x 3rd and 1 x 4th from four starts. Drawn a touch awkwardly, hence the stupid price, but we have the world's best jockey aboard to hopefully offset the sticky gate. At $21+ / $5+ place (NEDS) it's an each way must play. Would be a BEST VALUE bet of the day without doubt had I done the full card, so even as a standalone I feel obligated to put a couple of asterisks against his name. Surely ends up half the odds? Hence could even be a green book play. Looking at NEDS as much as $34 was on offer?! Congrats if you got a piece of that.
SUGGEST: SCREAM PARK (EACH WAY) @ $21+ (CONFIDENCE 35%)