10 August 2019 (Racing at Flemington)

PUNTING DUNGEON

WWW.PUNTINGDUNGEON.COM.AU

FLEMINGTON

SATURDAY, AUGUST 10, 2019

 

Racing returns to FLEMINGTON with a terrible weather forecast and more rain to come. Currently looking at a deteriorating SOFT (7) surface.

RAIL: +10M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to FLEMINGTON with the rail out +10M. Expect it to chop up as the day progresses, so who knows where we’ll end up, possibly on the outside rail. As important as ever to keep a close eye on early races and also as the day progresses to see how things are panning out.

 

Race 1 @ 11:40AM AEST (VRC Member Paul Barnard Handicap over 2530m):

Handicap

NO THIRD DIVIDEND

Suggested plays:

NOT A SINGLE CENT @ $2.60+ (BET365) – Looks to be good pace on paper, with several of the main chances expected to be battling things out up front, setting up for this gelding to come over the top of them. Money has come. Plunge – Early Saturday Mover. (WIN / EACH WAY)

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 2 @ 12.10pm AEST (VRC Member Helen Saffin Handicap over 1400m):

BenchMark 70, Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Three-Years-Old

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

**MAOZI** @ $4.60+ (SPORTSBET) – Only one of four of the 12 that didn’t win last time, but arguably should’ve and now gets right swing in the weights to turn tables and go once better. At the nice each way price, happy to make a BEST OF THE DAY. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

HEIRBORN

CONQUEROR

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 3 @ 12.45pm AEST (VRC Member Thomas Dandis Handicap over 1200m):

BenchMark 70, Handicap

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

RUBEN BLEU @ $15+ (TAB, BLUEBET) – Looks the value in a competitive affair down the straight. Handy 2kg claim, on the back of 1.45L 3rd to Sylvia’s Mother which reads well for a race like this. (EACH WAY)

I’M TELLING YA @ $12+ (MOST OPERATORS) - Been racing consistently well of late without winning, in arguably some better races than this. Does rise in weight, but gets important claim. Goes well down the straight. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

JUMBO OZAKI

TALENTED

CONFIDENCE: 25%

 

Race 4 @ 1.20pm AEST (VRC Member Emma Duffy Handicap over 1400m):

Handicap

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

TSHAIHITSI @ $2.65+ (SPORTSBETTING.COM.AU) – Won for us well last time as our ‘best of the day’ and little reason to say why simply can’t do it again. Low flying, fit, hard to beat. (WIN / EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

JUNGLE EDGE

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 5 @ 1.55pm AEST (VRC Member Jeffery Overington Handicap over 2000m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

CHAROSSA @ $9+ (TAB, BET365) – Brings back to back wins in lesser grade across to Victoria and the SA raiders normally go well as a rule when in form and in the market. (WIN / EACH WAY)

*CREEDENCE* @ $17+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Good backmarker whose racing style normally needs luck, but out to a juicy price and given track conditions, might be good for those coming from the rear. Happy to make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)

SERENADE THE STARS @ $34+ (MOST OPERATORS) Similarly, bad barrier can be offset if they are coming down the middle of the track and who knows even down the outside rail. Best is good enough. – (WIN / EACH WAY)

 

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

TWILIGHT RUN

ROYAL ORDER

DABIYR

HEIR TO THE THRONE

CONFIDENCE: 25%

 

Race 6 @ 2.35pm AEST (VRC Member Brenda Nugent Handicap over 1000m):

BenchMark 90, Handicap

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

*PARWAN PRINCE* @ $34+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Looks big overs given recent form and gets in well at the weights here. Big overs, likes the straight, handles conditions, BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day.  (EACH WAY)

WAGNER @ $7+ (UNIBET) – Gets right weight swing on PREZADO here and now with race day experience down the straight can hopefully go one better here. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

ASSERTIVE APPROACH

THE INEVITABLE

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 7 @ 3.15pm AEST (VRC Member Peter Cosgriff Handicap over 1400m):

BenchMark 84, Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Four-Years-Old and Upwards, Mares

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

MY PENDANT @ $1.95+ (BET365) looks the one here, up to a more suitable 1400m, second up, on a wet track at Flemington, hence ticks all the relevant boxes to be hard to beat here. One out in the quaddie….you only live once. (WIN)

CONFIDENCE: 55%

 

Race 8 @ 3.55pm AEST (Aurie’s Star Handicap over 1200m):

Handicap

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

**SESAR** @ $5.10+ (SPORTSBETTING.COM.AU) – Couldn’t touch with a six foot pole last time at poison odds, but flopped there and all of a sudden we get a nice price here, so happy to jump aboard in today’s feature. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

MILWAUKEE

YOU MAKE ME SMILE

MATERIAL MAN

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 9 @ 4.35pm AEST (VRC Member Angela Kennedy Handicap over 1720m):

BenchMark 84, Handicap

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

MASTER SHUHOOD @ $8.60+ (SPORTSBETTING.COM.AU) – Running with the Waller duo here, both at nice prices. Both nicely suited second up over this trip. MASTER SHUHOOD in particular no concerns on the track. (WIN / EACH WAY)

HUMBOLT CURRENT @ $10+ (BET365) – Super first up, slight queries are never run a place second up, nor on soft track or worse, however only two attempts (second up) and first up was on a SLOW 6. (WIN / EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

DR DRILL

KENTUCKY BREEZE

LAURE ME IN

ROYAL ACE

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

 SUMMARY:

Average odds $11.68+ per suggested runner!

** BEST OF DAY**: MAOZI @ $4.60+, SESAR @ $5.10+

*BEST LONGSHOTS*: PARWAN PRINCE @ $34+, CREEDENCE @ $17+

#happypunting