17 August 2019 (Racing at Caulfield)

PUNTING DUNGEON

WWW.PUNTINGDUNGEON.COM.AU

CAULFIELD

SATURDAY, AUGUST 17, 2019

 

Racing returns to CAULFIELD with wintery weather forecast in the leadup, but sunny weather actually forecast for Saturday, and then plenty to follow Sunday. Currently looking at a SOFT (5) surface however some chance of an upgrade given the sunny conditions forecast.

RAIL: +10M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to CAULFIELD with the rail out +10M, after being out +6M here three weeks back. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

 

Race 1 @ 12.15am AEST (MRC Foundation Supports Legacy Handicap over 1100m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap

Suggested plays:

·        EXCELTARA @ $13.20+ (SPORTSBETTING.COM.AU) – Always had an opinion of this 5YO gelding and return was solid, hitting the line well and normally goes better second up. Well suited in tough race. (EACH WAY)

·         *I’M TELLING YA* @ $27+ (SPORTSBET) – Had a dabble last time when we also had the winner at a double figure price, and happy to forgive on a heavy track when really didn’t get a proper crack at them. Over the odds once again and capable at this level. Best LONGSHOT of the day. (EACH WAY)

·        *DEFINIA* @ $61+ (TAB. PALMERBET) – Was very good last time against Queen Annabel, and gets in well enough at the weights again. Drawn awkwardly but not a major issue over the 1100m at Caulfield given just the one small bend to content with. Huge price. Best LONGSHOT of the day. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        PIPPIE

·        GODODDIN

·        DIAMOND EFFORT

CONFIDENCE: 25%

 

Race 2 @ 12.50pm AEST (Black Caviar Tribute Handicap over 1700m):

BenchMark 84, Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Fillies and Mares

Suggested plays:

·        TORYJOY @ $4.90+ (BETFAIR) – Good consistent type, who loves it wet and will appreciate minimal pace on paper here. Big weight but lumped it last time and with minimal pressure can hopefully pinch a race winning break on the turn. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        RAT WITH GOLDTOOTH

·        BENITOITE

·        PAINT THE TOWN TWO

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 3 @ 1.25pm AEST (Nitto Denko Handicap over 1600m):

Handicap

Suggested plays:

·        **NEW UNIVERSE** @ $4.10+ (BETFAIR) – Racing really well, we were keen two back when pulled up with thumps, then had one on top last time, so was a main danger when dominant. Jumping back aboard with fitness on his side. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        SNITZEPEG

·        BEAU BALMAIN

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 4 @ 2.00pm AEST (Blue Star Print Handicap over 1400m):

BenchMark 84, Handicap

Suggested plays:

·        FIVE KINDGOM @ $10+ (BETFAIR) – Been racing well this prep without really threatening, however looks ready to peak here and can settle a bit closer from the better gate after drawing 9 at three of past four runs. Well suited in this grade and decent pressure up front also suits. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        AGE OF CHIVALRY

·        SMART ELISSIM

·        SHOT OF IRISH

·        ROX THE CASTLE

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 5 @ 2.40pm AEST (Ladbrokes Vain Stakes over 1100m):

GROUP 3

Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old, Colts and Geldings

NO THIRD DIVIDEND

Suggested plays:

·        BIVOUAC @ $2.60+ (BETFAIR) – Blue Army. Has fresh form. Has hardly put a foot/hoof wrong in short career to date, in several black type events, including last start Group 3 win before break. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        DUBIOUS

·        EXCESS FUNDS

CONFIDENCE: 40%

 

Race 6 @ 3.20pm AEST (Probuild Quezette Stakes over 1100m):

GROUP 3

Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old, Fillies

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

·        LYRE @ $4.40+ (BETFAIR) – Couldn’t have been much more impressive last prep and returns to track where she has won her two starts in Group 1 and Group 2 races, the Group 1 being the Blue Diamond. Good race, but no reasons she can’t go on with it first up. Maps well. (EACH WAY)

·        PIN SEC @ $14+ (BETFAIR) – Blue Army runner who did little wrong last prep as well, before flopping in the Golden Slipper on a Heavy track. Clear forgive and can return well here on a better surface. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        EXHILIRATES

·        CHEER LEADER

·        ABSOLUTE FLIRT

·        LANKAN STAR

·        SIZZLEFLY

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 7 @ 4.00pm AEST (Regal Roller Stakes over 1200m):

LISTED

Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Four-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

·        HAUNTED @ $7+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Tough race, with many here first up and with bigger fish to fry later on. HAUNTED comes here rock hard fit, blinkers on, Blue Army, ticks many boxes. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        FUNDAMENTALIST

·        BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER

·        ANTAH

·        BOHEMOTH

·        LONG LEAF

CONFIDENCE: 25%

 

Race 8 @ 4.40pm AEST (P.B Lawrence Stakes over 1400m):

GROUP 2

Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

·        **MYSTIC JOURNEY** @ $2.50+ (BETFAIR) – With Winx now done, it’s time for a new star to rise to the top of the tree, and many are thinking this mare might be the one. Time will tell, but looks well suited to get the job done here first up to kickstart what many hope will be a massive campaign. (WIN)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        HARTNELL

·        CLIFF’S EDGE

·        FIFTY STARS

CONFIDENCE: 45%

 

Race 9 @ 5.15pm AEST (Ladbrokes Odds Boost Handicap over 1100m):

Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Four-Years-Old and Upwards, Mares

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

·        CAUSEWAY GIRL @ $7.20+ (BETFAIR) – Tough finish, but have landed with this girl, on the back of a very good prep last time in good black type events. Goes well fresh, loves the trip and handles give in ground, so ticks all the appropriate boxes. (EACH WAY)

·        ALL OVER BOSANOVA @ $14+ (SPORTSBET) – Over the odds after strong first up run, goes well second up and distance suits. Great each way price and gets in well at the weights. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        CRACK THE CODE

·        MISS IANO

·        GREY SHADOW

·        BELLA VELLA

·        VICTORY KINGDOM

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

SUMMARY:

Average odds $13.22+ per suggested runner!

** BEST OF DAY**: NEW UNIVERSE @ $4.10+, MYSTIC JOURNEY @ $2.50+

*BEST LONGSHOTS*: I’M TELLING YA @ $27+, DEFINIA @ $61+

#happypunting