17 August 2019 (Racing at Randwick - Kensington)

PUNTING DUNGEON

WWW.PUNTINGDUNGEON.COM.AU

RANDWICK – KENSINGTON TRACK

SATURDAY, AUGUST 17, 2019

 

Racing returns to RANDWICK (KENSINGTON TRACK) with FINE WEATHER FORECAST. Currently looking at a GOOD (4) surface and expected to stay there for the entire race card.

RAIL: TRUE (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to KENSINGTON with the rail back in the TRUE position. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

 

Race 1 @ 12.00pm AEST (TAB Highway Class 3 Handicap over 1300m):

Class 3, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

Suggested plays:

·        *TOULON BROOK* @ $14+ (TAB, BET365) – Tough start to the day, plenty of chances, best value with these two, brings solid form to town and deserves crack. Regular rider follows. Happy to make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)

·        FLORA BEL @ $16+ (SPORTSBET) – Similarly brings good provincial form to town having won three of past four, and doubt there are any world-beaters here. Over the odds. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        I AM CAPITAN

·        ZARDORO

·        SCHAPPOSE

·        ELEGANT ELLEN

CONFIDENCE: 25%

 

Race 2 @ 12.35pm AEST (Book Spring Hospitality \Handicap over 1700m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Fillies and Mares

Suggested plays:

·        CONNEMARA @ $5.10+ (BETFAIR) – We were on last start and just missed behind a very smart one. Raises in weight, but this is easier on face value so can hopefully go one better. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        WIMLAH

·        VELOCITA

·        HELGA

·        BUBBLES BALL

·        CONSTELLATIONS

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 3 @ 1.10pm AEST (Everest Carnival Handicap over 1100m):

BenchMark 70, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Four-Years-Old

Suggested plays:

·        PENDEMIC @ $2.80+ (BETFAIR) – Very impressive on debut, winning comfortably but most importantly running good time. In the best possible handles, Blue Army and well supported. (WIN / EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        AUSSIE

·        MADDIE ROCKS

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 4 @ 1.45pm AEST (ATC Member Tours Handicap over 1000m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

Suggested plays:

·        NOVEMBER MAN @ $7.50+ (TAB) – Rate this gelding who got us the chocolates when keen last prep and very well backed. Pace suits, but just need to ensure backmarkers are getting their chance. We should know by race four and if they are, then confidence increases. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        NATALIA

·        GOD OF THUNDER

·        ROYAL WITNESS

·        MISS INVINCIBLE

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 5 @ 2.20pm AEST (Events By ATC Handicap over 1550m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

NO THIRD DIVIDEND

Suggested plays:

·        **WATCHDOG** @ $3.50+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Blue Army. Brings the right form to this, and has had support, however two others (COMMANDER, NOTIO) have also. J-Mac rides. Top pick and will make a BEST BET of the day. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        COMMANDER

·        NOTIO

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 6 @ 3.00pm AEST (Premier’s Cup Prelude over 1800m):

Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

·        SO YOU WIN @ $4.00+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Very consistent in recent times and no reason that doesn’t continue here. Waller polish, short freshen up, trialled, J-Mac rides. Top pick. (EACH WAY)

·        *EASTENDER* @ $17+ (TAB, BETFAIR) – Waller stablemate, ex-Tasmanian with excellent record and showed last prep up to decent grade. May want longer but has first up form and capable at the distance. Excellent value and will make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        GOODFELLA – Barrier the concern or else would’ve been a suggested play.

·        WOLFE

·        SAVACOOL

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 7 @ 3.40pm AEST (Spring Preview Handicap over 1400m):

Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

·        SEAWAY @ $3.80+ (BET365) – Seems to almost be on or off at runs with 10 x top two finishes from 15 starts. Looks the one to beat here but want to play two so will take both WIN only. Primary play. (WIN)

·        BANGKOK @ $7+ (NEDS, BOOKMAKERS.COM.AU, BETSTAR) – Back to back wins and no reason why can’t make it three from three. Last start knocked us off and simply too good. Saving WIN only play. (WIN)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        WREN’S DAY

·        SPECIAL MISSILE

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 8 @ 4.20pm AEST (TAB Handicap over 1400m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Colts, Geldings and Entires

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

·        THY KINGDOM COME @ $3.70+ (SPORTSBETTING.COM.AU) – Am going to go with what I consider to be the ‘best horse rule’, with J-Mac aboard, now ready to peak third run this prep. (EACH WAY)

·        SHOCK ALERT @ $10+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Drawn awkwardly, but should be able to cross and if so can give a great sight at a nice each way price. Gets nice weight drop. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        GROUNDBREAK

·        VENEZUELA

·        PEMBROKE CASTLE

·        NICOCHET

·        BULL MARKET

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 9 @ 5.00pm AEST (Winter Racing Handicap over 1100m):

BenchMark 88, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Four-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

·        **RANIER** @ $9+ (NEDS, BOOKMAKERS.COM.AU, BETSTAR) – The class runner of the field who will appreciate any tempo up front. MISS SONGMAN drawn wide and hoping they try and keep her out which is crucial, interesting stablemate LABURNAM in a position to assist. Happy to make a BEST of the day at a very generous price even after early support. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

·        MISS SONGMAN – Barrier the concern

·        ALL TOO ROYAL – Barrier also the concern

·        LABURNUM – Also drawn poorly

·        TELL ME

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

 SUMMARY:

Average odds $7.95+ per suggested runner!

** BEST OF DAY**: WATCHDOG @ $3.50+, RANIER @ $9+

*BEST LONGSHOTS*: TOULON  BROOK @ $14+, EASTENDER @ $17+

#happypunting