24 August 2019 (Group 1 racing at Royal Randwick)

PUNTING DUNGEON

WWW.PUNTINGDUNGEON.COM.AU

ROYAL RANDWICK

SATURDAY, AUGUST 24, 2019

 

Racing returns to RANDWICK with fine conditions for race day, penetrometer reading 5.02, so we’re on an a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +4M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail out +4M, after being in the TRUE position last time we raced here. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

 

Race 1 @ 12.05pm AEST (TAB Highway Class 2 Handicap over 1100m):

Class 2, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

Suggested plays:

REVITUP REDNUT @ $26+ (MOST OPERATORS) – At a juicy price, happy to take the punt that the drop back to 1100m here will suit and prior to attempts over 1400m was competitive in town/here at Randwick. (EACH WAY)

*DENMISS* @ $61+ (BET365) – Resumes here and won well first up last time in work. Will get pace on to suit and form of last prep doesn’t warrant such a massive price tag. Drawn poorly but will get back. Will make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

BALLERINA MAGIC

GEM DEALER

GALAXY FORCE

LADY DEMI

CONFIDENCE: 20%

 

Race 2 @ 12.20pm AEST (Tattersalls club Handicap over 1600m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

MISSYBEEL @ $5+ (TAB, BETEASY, PALMERBET) – Tricky race with no speed on paper, so may be a very tactical affair. Late entry here and I see why, has the form and can be prominent in the run. (WIN)

CONFIDENCE: 30%

Main dangers:

ADANA

CYBER INTERVENTION

TRAVANCORE

 

Race 3 @ 1.15pm AEST (the Luxury Network Up and Coming Stakes over 1300m):

GROUP 3
Quality, Minimum Weight 54.5kg, Three-Years-Old

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

LUCICELLO @ $5+ (TAB, BET365) – Tough race, leaning towards the better priced runner of the Waller duo, who is racing well. Dropped back in trip last time and the 1300m now looks ideal. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

TRUE DETECTIVE

SUPERIUM

ATHIRI

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 4 @ 1.50pm AEST (Gold Coast Turf Club Trophy over 2400m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

**OUR CANDIDATE** @ $2.22+ (BETFAIR) – Just needs to reproduce last start, and should be extremely hard to beat here. No reason to be knocking or jumping off here. (WIN)

Main dangers:

SCHOLARLY

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 5 @ 2.25pm AEST (Darley Silver Shadow Stakes over 1200m):

GROUP 2, Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old, Fillies

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

LIBERTINI @ $1.85+ (NEDS, BETSTAR) – A real up and comer, and this prep will tell us just how good, starting here as this is far from easy first up at Group 2 level. (WIN)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

TENLEY

FLIT

LET IT POUR

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 6 @ 3.05pm AEST (Mostyn Copper Show County Quality over 1200m):

GROUP 3
Quality, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

BALLER @ $6+ (BETEASY) – Good race, and am leaning towards BALLER at the better price, just over favourites DEPRIVE and TROPE who will settle further back. Showed plenty last prep, competitive with top liners and will get more prominent run here (compared with those mentioned) to hopefully hold them all off. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

DEPRIVE

TROPE

CASCADIAN

BON AMIS

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 7 @ 3.45pm AEST (Winx Stakes over 1400m):

GROUP 1
Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

**HAPPY CLAPPER** @ $4.60+ (BETFAIR) – We’ll learn a lot today as to whether best is behind this gelding, but I don’t get as scared of age as others do so happy to play as a now 9YO. And sticking with ‘best horse’ rule or has definitely been the case up until now and will make a BEST BET of the day. (EACH WAY)

BEST OF DAYS @ $21+ (BET365) – Didn’t fire last prep, but showed signs prior (we were aboard at a price at very good win) and interestingly has had the ultimate gear change returning here gelded. Blue Army remain on fire! (EACH WAY)

Main dangers / must for multiples/savers:

AVILIUS

VERY ELLEEGANT

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 8 @ 4.25pm AEST (Toy Show Quality over 1100m):

GROUP 3

Quality, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Fillies and Mares

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

MIZZY @ $4.40+ (BETFAIR) – Up and comer for mine who was very good in top grade last prep despite drawing some poor gates. Well drawn here, gets gun run, no excuses, now comes down to ability/class as there’s plenty of quality to take on here. (EACH WAY)

MY XPRESSION @ $34+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Capable, but needs to lift on first up effort. In right hands and trial form is good enough to say there’s hope at a massive price. Monitor betting. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

KIAMICHI

DYSLEXIC

SOOTHING

NOTATION

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 9 @ 5.05pm AEST (Kogaroo Handicap over 1400m):

BenchMark 88, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

ROHERYN @ $2.30+ (BETFAIR) – Sticking with until let’s us down, as who knows where the ceiling lies. Good enough price, this will tell us a whole lot more, but happy to be on to find out. (WIN)

*FORTENSKY* @ $26+ - Tough run last time and wasn’t fair away. Gets right weight swing here and more than anything just looks big overs considering. In very good Waller hands which always helps. Happy to make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

PRIME CANDIDATE

DEALMAKER

THE AVENGER

CONFIDENCE: 40%

 

 SUMMARY:

Average odds $16.81+ per suggested runner!

** BEST OF DAY**: OUR CANDIDATE @ $2.22+, HAPPY CLAPPER @ $4.60+

*BEST LONGSHOTS*: DENMISS @ $61+, FORTENSKY @ $26+

#happypunting