14 September 2019 (Group 2 racing at Rosehill Gardens)

PUNTING DUNGEON

WWW.PUNTINGDUNGEON.COM.AU

ROSEHILL GARDENS

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 14, 2019

 

Racing returns to ROSEHILL with fine weather and conditions, penetrometer 4.83, hence looking at a GOOD (4) surface.

RAIL: +6M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to ROSEHILL with the rail out +6M after being out +3M here last time a couple of weeks’ back. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always, be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

 

Race 1 @ 12:10AM AEST (TAB Highway Class 3 Handicap over 1400m):

Class 3, Handicap, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

Suggested plays:

SAUSEDGE @ $5.50+ (SPORTSBET) – Tricky start but looks well suited here after an okay return first up. Drawn well, should get good run in transit, while other key chances get back. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

Throw a blanket over them. Be sure to monitor markets closer to jump time.

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 2 @ 12.50pm AEST (Everest Carnival Handicap over 1800m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

SHOCK ALERT @ $2.75+ (BETFAIR) – Ready to win after just missing for us as our best of the day last time and gets that man Nash aboard, and you know what we’ve said about him aboard on pacers. (WIN / EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

Another wide leg in terms of dangers

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 3 @ 1.25pm AEST (Hyland Race Colours Handicap over 1500m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

JUVENTUS @ $6.50+ (UNIBET) – Consistent type who looks well suited in this type of race and gets in nicely at the weights. J-Mac not in great form, but surely just a matter of time before he clicks into gear. (WIN / EACH WAY)

ONENESS @ $9+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Obviously running with the Rock form, with JUVENTUS and ONENESS filling the placings last time. Also gets drop in the weights, albeit 0.5kg less but did beat JUVENTUS home. (WIN)

Main dangers:

IRUKANDJI

MAPMAKER

ADANA

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 4 @ 2.00pm AEST (Rosehill Bowling Club Handicap over 2400m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

GAYATRI @ $9+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Looks set to peak after getting better with each of her four runs this time in. Waller polish, berry rides, drawn well, nice each way price. (EACH WAY)

*MRS MADRID* @ $16+ (POINTSBET) – Up and comer for mine who surprised many saluting well last time at a big price. Rises in weight comparatively to others but deserved and can go close again. At the price, happy to make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

DABIYR

COSTELLO

CASTEL SANT’ANGELO

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 5 @ 2.35pm AEST (Dulcify Stakes over 1500m):

LISTED, Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

TRUE DETECTIVE @ $4.20+ (BETFAIR) – Won on protest last time after being 2nd past the post at past three. Looks above average and has fitness and speed map on side to try and topple the fave. (EACH WAY)

*EDISON* @ $13+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Has done little wrong in short career to date and stable is flying. Last start had excuses but still wasn’t far away at Group 3 level, and most importantly lovely price that I’m happy to make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day in a hot race. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

CASTELVECCHIO

SUPERIUM

JUST THINKIN’

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 6 @ 3.10pm AEST (Sydney Markets Run to the Rose over 1200m):

GROUP 2, Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

**EXCEEDANCE** @ $2.20+ (MOST OPERATORS) – We took on the hot pot BIVOUAC last time and saluted in style. No reason to jump off here despite the quality field. WIN only play, but again will make a BEST BET of the day as we did last time, despite the shorter odds here. (WIN)

YES YES YES @ $6.40+ (BETFAIR) – Rate this galloper whose only real miss was on a heavy track in Golden Slipper when far from disgraced. Goes well fresh, can win, another WIN only play. (WIN)

Main dangers:

BIVOUAC

DAWN PASSAGE

PRINCE FAWAZ

KUBRICK

CONFIDENCE: 45%

 

Race 7 @ 3.50pm AEST (Tooheys 150th Birthday Theo Marks Stakes over 1300m):

GROUP 2, Quality, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

**ARCADIA QUEEN** @ $2.02+ (BETFAIR) – Star WA filly who couldn’t have been more impressive last/first prep. Intriguingly they’ve elected for the Everest/Golden Eagle instead of a Cox Plate. As a result, must respect now over 1300m, and strategically added to the Waller stable given the focus on Sydney. Happy to make a BEST BET of the day. (WIN)

Main dangers:

Another wide leg if ARCADIA QUEEN misses. Monitor markets with varying fitness levels.

CONFIDENCE: 55%

 

Race 8 @ 4.30pm AEST (Schweppes Sheraco Stakes over 1200m):

GROUP 2, Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Fillies and Mares

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

FASIKA @ $4.85+ (SPORTSBETTING.COM.AU) – Unbeaten in first prep and latest win was against a few who had big wraps on them. Stable flying, be sure to monitor markets first up. (EACH WAY)

READY TO PROPHET @ $13+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Was very good last prep, and most importantly looks to have come up over the odds here. Won well first up last time, again monitor markets. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

CHAMPAGNE CUDDLE

I AM EXCITED

DYSLEXIC

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 9 @ 5.10pm AEST (Fugen Constructions Sprint over 1100m):

BenchMark 88, Handicap, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

LEGEND OF CONDOR @ $10+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Liked the return first up and gets good weight swing against key rival (ALL TOO ROYAL) to help flip the result here at very nice odds. (EACH WAY)

NOVEMBER MAN @ $11.20+ (SPORTSBETTING.COM.AU) – Rate this gelding and not sure we’ve seen his best. We’ll learn a bit more today. Stable flying, weird run last time, can improve over 1100m. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

GOD OF THUNDER

ALL TOO ROYAL

BEAU IDEAL

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

 SUMMARY:

Average odds $7.70+ per suggested runner!

** BEST OF DAY**: EXCEEDANCE @ $2.20+, ARCADIA QUEEN @ $2.02+

*BEST LONGSHOTS*: MRS MADRID @ $16+, EDISON @ $13+

#happypunting