7 September 2019 (Racing at Royal Randwick)

PUNTING DUNGEON

WWW.PUNTINGDUNGEON.COM.AU

ROYAL RANDWICK

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 7, 2019

 

Racing returns to RANDWICK with windy conditions for race day, penetrometer reading 5.58, so on an improving SOFT (6) surface.

RAIL: +8M (ENTIRE CIRCUIT). We head to RANDWICK with the rail out +8M, after being OUT +4M here two weeks’ back. Hoping for an even track, pace dependant, but as always be sure to keep a close eye on early races for best guide.

 

Race 1 @ 12.10pm AEST (Strawberry Hill Stud Handicap over 1300m):

BenchMark 72, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52.5kg, Three-Years-Old

Suggested plays:

YAO DASH @ $5+ (BET365) – Tough start, plenty in great form for a race like this. Debut was very good, Nash Rawiller going well on on pacers and can hopefully p[inch a break on the turn just as he did for us last week in the opener. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

SUPERIUM

PANDEMIC

FUNSTAR

MADDY ROCKS

CONFIDENCE: 25%

 

Race 2 @ 12.50pm AEST (TAB Highway class 3 Handicap over 1200m):

Class 3, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

COUP DE MAIN @ $3.80+ (SPORTSBET) – Doesn’t look to be a heap of pace on paper here, and the form with the fave looks very hard to knock and in the right stable. Hard to beat here. (EACH WAY)

PRESS BOX @ $11+ (SPORTSBET) – Lack of speed on paper will also suit, Nash rides and as said earlier love him on pace runners and importantly has the right form for a race like this. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

HIT THE TARGET

NICCONITA

LADY DEMI

LESHRAC

BARBASS

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 3 @ 1.25pm AEST (Might and Power for CPA Sprint over 1100m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Fillies and Mares

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

BLEU ROCHE @ $4+ (BETFAIR) – Another tricky affair and much more pace on paper here. Some good chances drawn wide also, in particular MISS INVINCIBLE. BLUE ROCHE the one assuming wound up and ready first up. Watch market. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

Wide leg, plenty of chances

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

Race 4 @ 2.00pm AEST (Sydney Markets Handicap over 1200m):

BenchMark 78, Handicap, Minimum Weight 53kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

ALL TOO FREE @ $5+ (BETEASY, SPORTSBET, PALMERBET) – Another tricky affair, looks to be the theme of the day. Pace decent again and the one to beat BALLER drawn wide. As a result, going with the expected softer run on paper in ALL TOO FREE instead, one who is hopefully still on an upward spiral. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

BALLER

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 5 @ 2.35pm AEST (Darley Furious Stakes over 1200m):

GROUP 2, Set Weights, Three-Years-Old, Fillies

EARLY QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

*PROBABEEL* @ $14+ (MOST OPERATORS) – LIBERTINI looks a new star, but $1.18 is WINX odds very early on. Broke the clock last time and did it easily. Who knows how good?! In saying that, given the price, PROBABEEL is the one for mine at a much bigger price just to place, so prefer to be playing there instead, potentially small win, larger place. Happy to make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

LIBERTINI

CONFIDENCE: 20%

 

Race 6 @ 3.10pm AEST (Forum Concorde Stakes over 1000m):

GROUP 3, Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 1

Suggested plays:

REDZEL @ $8+ (BET365) – Not sure you’ll find a better six horse field, anywhere! Cracking field assembled, very much a case of quality over quantity. Importantly strong pace up front. REDZEL has been very good for us in the past and although best is behind him, I am going with him one last time. This will be it, with first up over 1000m very much being his sweetest spot, so it’s now or never again for mine. Given the hot pace, can hopefully take a sit just behind the leading pair and be ready to pounce at the top of the straight, we’ll know our fate within a matter of seconds. Boom or bust at the top of the straight. Going for three consecutive Concorde Stakes victories. (EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

The rest of the field, all can win. Field quaddie leg.

CONFIDENCE: 25%

 

Race 7 @ 3.50pm AEST (Bob Ingham Chelmsford Stakes over 1600m):

GROUP 2, Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 2

Suggested plays:

**AVILIUS** @ $2.10+ (BETEASY, BETFAIR) – Ultra consistent galloper at the top level and with a stack of stayers resuming or still well short of their pet trips, this field doesn’t run deep in terms of legitimate chances. Was smashed in betting last time and hit the line strong, better suited here over the mile. Will make a BEST BET of the day for that ruthless Blue army. (WIN / EACH WAY)

Main dangers:

UNFORGOTTEN

ANGEL OF TRUTH

CON DE PARTIRO

GIRL TUESDAY

CONFIDENCE: 55%

 

Race 8 @ 4.30pm AEST (Harvey Norman Tramway Stakes over 1400m):

GROUP 2, Set Weights plus Penalties, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 3

Suggested plays:

INVINCIBLE GEM @ $9.50+ (TAB, BETEASY, BETFAIR) – Tough, tough race on what looks a tough day overall. Was super last time against the best and a repeat will go close here, does need a touch of luck from the gate. (EACH WAY)

ECKSTEIN @ $9+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Always had an opinion and has only got better/more consistent since joining the Waller stable. Been good in recent times and nice freshen up for this. Pace on up front would help, a little hard to know how this unfolds. (EACH WAY)

*KAONIC* @ $51+ (BET365) – Wasn’t at best last prep, but looked to have great potential early on and interesting to see the ultimate gear change over the break. First up form is very good, and in the great Waller hands. At the price, will make a BEST LONGSHOT bet of the day. (EACH WAY)  

Main dangers:

DREAMFORCE

TE AKAU SHARK

KOLDING

PENSKE

STAR OF THE SEAS

CONFIDENCE: 30%

 

Race 9 @ 5.10pm AEST (Nexon Handicap over 1500m):

BenchMark 94, Handicap, Minimum Weight 52kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards

MAIN QUADDIE – LEG 4

Suggested plays:

**RE EDIT** @ $7.50+ (MOST OPERATORS) – Wanted to back this galloper last week, but saved for this instead. A tougher race here, but stable hopefully have a reason for the change of plan. Unbeaten first up (1 from 1), and one from two over the 1500m. Gets in with an absolute feather weight after the claim with 49kg! Happy to make a BEST BET of the day to finish things off at a nice each way price. (EACH WAY)

ROHERYN @ $4.20+ (BETEASY, SPORTSBET) – Sticking with again after failing for us last time, when simply too far back in the run. Hit the line well, but need to be within range on the turn. Stay awake Kerryn. WIN only basis as we’re going with the two-pronged play and the shorter odds here. (WIN)

Main dangers:

SWEET DEAL

SPECIAL MISSILE

SCARLET DREAM

CONFIDENCE: 35%

 

 SUMMARY:

Average odds $10.31+ per suggested runner!

** BEST OF DAY**: AVILIUS @ $2.10+, RE EDIT @ $7.50+

*BEST LONGSHOTS*: PROBABEEL @ $14+, KAONIC @ $51+

#happypunting